2020 presidential election
Trump Campaign Geniuses Send ‘Pay Up, Deadbeat’ Emails To Supporters
The cruelty might be the point, but it’s not effective fundraising.
July 14, 2020 10:49 AM
Joe Biden is ahead of Donald Trump in the polls — including Texas (tee hee!). Now, he's lapping President Klan Robe in fundraising. Biden's campaign brought in more than $141 million in June, a full $10 million more than Trump's ragamuffin operation. Handsome Joe likely benefitted from the virtual fundraisers Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, and Elizabeth Warren held last month.
Trump has more cash on hand right now, but the vice president has either tied or exceeded Trump's efforts since becoming the presumptive nominee in April. Biden's average online donation was $34, and his campaign said 68 percent of all donors were newly malarkey free.
Brad Parscale, Trump's campaign manager and organizer of his Empty Seat Convention in Tulsa, Oklahoma, still insists there's no “enthusiasm" for the Democratic nominee.
"No one is excited about Joe Biden, which is why he has to rely so heavily on surrogates like Barack Obama and radical Hollywood elites."
There's evidence that Team Trump is worried about its cash flow, because the campaign's fundraising emails have a growing air of desperation. This one from Eric Trump is rude and hectoring.
<div id="0d7b4" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="0083ad38cbd8f5f35121fc4fb63ffcd0"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet twitter-custom-tweet" data-twitter-tweet-id="1282084174401286144" data-partner="rebelmouse"><div style="margin:1em 0">Brad Parscale appears to be working with Jared Kushner on campaign messaging, because this email imparts the feelin… https://t.co/OOpuseKR6m</div> — 𝔓𝔢𝔡𝔯𝔬 𝔏. 𝔊𝔬𝔫𝔷𝔞𝔩𝔢𝔷 (@𝔓𝔢𝔡𝔯𝔬 𝔏. 𝔊𝔬𝔫𝔷𝔞𝔩𝔢𝔷)<a href="https://twitter.com/emeriticus/statuses/1282084174401286144">1594507661.0</a></blockquote></div><p>
God, these people are idiots. It's a period of record-high unemployment, but they're sending messages marked “Final Notice" like they're the power company. Trump's gonna shut off his supporter's electricity unless they pay up now! He's a crappy president and <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdR_StE6Niw" target="_blank">an absentee landlord.</a>
</p><p>
Parscale scoffed at the “radical Hollywood elites" filling Biden's coffers, but Trump fundraises like he's a movie star and his supporters are members of his fan club. No one dares tell him that his best days are behind him and he's lucky to get booked on an infomercial. “We've begged you repeatedly to join our oh-so prestigious group" rings hollow, like the space where Trump's soul should be.
</p><p>
Eric Trump tells supporters, “My father is counting on YOU ... <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCtzkaL2t_Y" target="_blank">Don't let him down," </a>because all that matters is serving <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BV7AfWxKxyQ" target="_blank">fearless leader.</a> He doesn't offer any reason to contribute to Trump's re-election. He also exhibits zero empathy and consideration for the morons who gave their hard-earned money to the billionaire (?) who was supposed to fund his own campaign. There's no recognition that people might've lost their jobs in the past few months, thanks to the pandemic that Trump managed with his usual malicious incompetence.
</p><div id="9168f" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="b1eacc807bd3fcc6a0520e8c3c262f26"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet twitter-custom-tweet" data-twitter-tweet-id="1281693223996452864" data-partner="rebelmouse"><div style="margin:1em 0">Don’t ever again send me a text that treats me like an idiot.
I am hearing from A LOT of supporters of the Presid… https://t.co/XGafsRaWcV</div> — Kurt Schlichter (@Kurt Schlichter)<a href="https://twitter.com/KurtSchlichter/statuses/1281693223996452864">1594414451.0</a></blockquote></div><p>
Townhall columnist Kurt Schlichter didn't appreciate the campaign's fundraising "tone," and he's the kind of guy who calls teachers <a href="https://twitter.com/KurtSchlichter/status/1283033318104002560?s=20" target="_blank">"lazy and/or cowardly"</a> for not wanting to report to work during a pandemic. Ah, but Parscale says it's not his fault! </p>
<div id="15b19" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="fa5fe7d4664c37222eadf89f14a16a3d"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet twitter-custom-tweet" data-twitter-tweet-id="1281724691372052480" data-partner="rebelmouse"><div style="margin:1em 0">@parscale @GOPChairwoman @realDonaldTrump Well, then you have your people unscrew it with whoever did it since it r… https://t.co/6zOUnf9cki</div> — Kurt Schlichter (@Kurt Schlichter)<a href="https://twitter.com/KurtSchlichter/statuses/1281724691372052480">1594421954.0</a></blockquote></div>
<p>Yes, Schlichter is a retired colonel! No, he is not the colonel of Brad Parscale. If Trump loses the asshole demo, he doesn't have a viable path to re-election. </p><p>
This is, of course, a stark change from how the Biden campaign appeals to potential donors.
</p><p class="shortcode-media shortcode-media-rebelmouse-image">
<img type="lazy-image" data-runner-src="https://assets.rebelmouse.io/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJpbWFnZSI6Imh0dHBzOi8vYXNzZXRzLnJibC5tcy8yMzQ1NjA4Ni9vcmlnaW4ucG5nIiwiZXhwaXJlc19hdCI6MTYwNTg5MzkxNH0.Ehq0GuqRNibLtlGV00TqSOtmVzX3c8Hu0UsPnKXhfL0/img.png?width=980" id="ad6ea" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="f9ba33d66c371b6a35ba6e902bf3ac19" data-rm-shortcode-name="rebelmouse-image">
</p><p>
Oh, don't feel bad about asking, Joe! We understand!
</p><p>
Biden doesn't berate us or send us on a no-expenses-paid guilt trip. He is humble enough to understand that he has to make his case. He's not entitled to our money.
</p><blockquote>
Stephen,
</blockquote><p> This is auto-generated, but I'd like to think we could be friends.<br></p><blockquote>
You've heard me say this before, but one of the parts of running for president that I enjoy the least is asking for money.<br>
<br>
<strong>Especially right now, as there are so many charities, health organizations, and important advocacy groups who deserve it.</strong> And the needs of yourself and your family have never been more important.
</blockquote><p>
Hey, it's as if he knows that I'm a human being, worthy of respect, and not just a human ATM or a source of narcissistic supply.</p><blockquote>I know we ask for contributions a lot, but the support and generosity from this grassroots team is the only way that we are going to defeat Donald Trump.<br><br>And that's the truth.</blockquote><p>Those last four words are what no one associated with Trump can say without bursting into flame. </p><p>Biden's campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon, who'll have a job next year or even next month, said, "It's clear that voters are looking for steady leadership, experience, empathy, compassion, and character – and they'll find all of these qualities in Vice President Joe Biden."</p><p>Trump and his tacky-ass campaign continue to prove Dillon's point.</p><p>Donate to the Eject Trump fund <a href="https://secure.actblue.com/donate/bvf_gs_ads_dd?refcode=omvf_gs_bvf_d2d_donate&gclid=EAIaIQobChMI7rCojfnM6gIVUhh9Ch2ZpA3-EAAYASAAEgJC2fD_BwE" target="_blank">here.</a></p><p>[<a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/07/02/joe-biden-outraises-donald-trump-fundraising-second-straight-month/5362914002/" target="_blank">USA Today</a>]</p><p>
<em>Follow Stephen Robinson on </em><em><a href="https://twitter.com/SER1897" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em>
</p><p>
<a href="https://amzn.to/33mKzZe" target="_blank">Do your Amazon shopping through this link, because reasons</a>.
</p><p>
We think you'd look good in a <a href="https://wonkettebazaar.com/products/old-handsome-joe-biden-mens-and-womens-tees-womens-tanks" target="_blank">Handsome Joe tee.</a>
</p><p>
<strong>Yr Wonkette is 100 percent ad free and entirely supported entirely by reader donations. That's you! Please click the clickie, if you are able!</strong>
</p><p>
</p><form name="donation" method="post" class="donation-form"><p class="subheadline">How often would you like to donate?</p><div class="form-row row--plan"><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="once" class="plan-type" required="" checked> Just once
</label><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="monthly" class="plan-type" required=""> Monthly
</label></div><div class="form-row row--amount"><p class="subheadline">Select an amount (USD)</p><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="200" data-value="2.00" data-amount="Two Dollars">$2</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2500" data-value="25.00" data-amount="Twenty Five Dollars">$25</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="500" data-value="5.00" data-amount="Five Dollars">$5</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="5000" data-value="50.00" data-amount="Fifty Dollars">$50</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1000" data-value="10.00" data-amount="Ten Dollars" checked>$10</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="10000" data-value="100.00" data-amount="One Hundred Dollars">$100</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1500" data-value="15.00" data-amount="Fifteen Dollars">$15</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="50000" data-value="500.00" data-amount="Five Hundred Dollars">$500</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2000" data-value="20.00" data-amount="Twenty Dollars">$20</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="100000" data-value="1000.00" data-amount="One Thousand Dollars">$1000</label></div><div class="row--buttons"><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="strip"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208879/2000x.png" alt="Credit cards" class="donate-button__img"></button><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="paypal"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208880/2000x.png" alt="PayPal" class="donate-button__img"></button></div></form><br>
<p></p>
Keep reading...
Show less
polls
One America News Georgia Poll Is Bad, Should Feel Bad
How to make a bad poll in just 486 easy steps!
July 13, 2020 11:35 AM
With Fox News and Rasmussen both showing Donald Trump down by double digits, the president has taken to scream-tweeting about "Fake Suppression Polls," unlike his "VERY GOOD internal Polling Numbers," which he won't be sharing with you, so don't even ask. Luckily, Trump's favorite off-brand Fox News substitute, the One America News Network (OANN), has cooked up some polls in swing states to please the sad MAGA man.
Faced with the daunting task of showing Trump winning bigly, OANN has started polling swing states like North Carolina, Arizona, and most recently Georgia. You already know these polls are junk. But let's reach up the ass end of that Georgia poll and see exactly what went wrong.
First Order of Business: Check the Survey Method
According to OANN, "The survey was collected from respondents using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users." What the hell does that mean? A good pollster will aim for 50 percent landline and 50 percent cell phone respondents, usually live callers only. Presumably, the Gravis polling company conducted its survey by calling and texting people, but we have no way of knowing. Was it cellphones? Landlines? Text? Twitter poll? That sentence of gibberish could mean a lot of different things.
Second Order of Business: Sample Size
Any good poll, will sample about 800-1500 people, depending on the state. The OANN poll sampled 513 likely voters, off to a great start.
<h2>Third Order: Weighting</h2><p>
All pollsters weight their results for demographics because the cohort of people willing to answer the phone and donate ten minutes of their time to a random stranger is likely not representative of the electorate generally. But this is OANN, the "news" people who took time out of a White House press briefing to ask if <a href="https://www.wonkette.com/trumps-daily-coronavirus-bullsh-t-or-who-or-what-is-a-chanel-rion" target="_blank">Chinese food was racist</a>. If there's fuckery here, it's probably in how they weighted the results. And <em>what a coincidence</em>, they didn't tell us how they weighted the demographics. Could their baseline be 2016? It's probably not 2018, since the GOP got blown out then and GOP Georgia Governor Brian Kemp almost lost. (Probably <em>did</em> lose, if everybody had been able to vote and have their votes counted, but that's another post.)</p><p>
Okay, let's check out the actual numbers and see if we can see what they did here.
</p><h2>Crosstabs: Let's Talk About Race</h2><p>
Let's give Gravis credit here, because its top line result is very reasonable. If Trump won Georgia by three, no one would be surprised. But let's look a little closer at these horseshit crosstabs. </p><p><img src="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/PI3bOBZ68TsqJifvm9CPnKdkn4VKi0HA0RvqsKIX8EsPpv8faqsVTNjMio1JMTSblEo8gbBz327H3T0ow-B2Yl8Gaa2n1WMkUX_PLBsOyxZLtUketwWaW1wu5lnWMbrsav__hi5f">
</p><p>
Okay, sure, it's <em>possible</em> Trump could get 12 percent of the Black vote in Georgia. He got <a href="https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/georgia/president" target="_blank">nine percent</a> last time and is doing <a href="https://www.blackenterprise.com/trumps-approval-rating-with-black-voters-may-be-higher-than-you-thought/" target="_blank">better</a> nationally than in 2016 with African Americans. That said, 12 percent seems implausible, particularly in light of the ongoing protests against police violence.
</p><h2>WTF Is Going On With the Asian-American Vote?</h2><p>According to OANN, 21.6 percent of Asians prefer Trump, 20.6 percent like Biden, and almost a whopping <em>58 percent</em> are uncertain. WTF? You have seven percent of African Americans, 19 percent of Hispanics, and six percent of whites undecided, but only 41 percent of Asian Americans have made up their minds? Come on!</p><p>Nationally, Asian-American voters are becoming increasingly Democratic. Two-thirds of Asian-Americans supported Clinton in 2016, and <a href="https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls" target="_blank">77 percent</a> backed down-ballot Democrats in 2016. This ain't 1992 — the Republican candidate won't win Asian Americans.</p><h2>Trump Making Big Inroads With Hispanics, You Bet!</h2><p>
According to OANN, 36 percent of Latinos back Trump for re-election, an 11 point increase since 2016. Donald Trump has made some <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/2/21308487/latino-hispanic-vote-trump-biden" target="_blank">progress</a> with Hispanic voters nationally, so perhaps he could get to 32 or maybe 33 percent in Georgia. But 36 percent is unrealistic, as is the 19 percent who are undecided. Joe Biden, who doesn't spend half his day shitting on immigrants, will probably win at least 60 percent of the Latino vote.</p><h2>But When It Comes to White People ...</h2><p>
I have no issues with the white vote here. Seems like a very good representation of where Georgia's melanin-challenged population is at right now. Good job, OANN!</p><h2>Age Is Just a Number, But It's a Pretty Important One</h2><p>What the hell is going on with that 18-29 number? According to OANN, Trump has 18 percent support with young voters, Biden is at 54, and a full 28 percent are undecided. Trump is at <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/marleycoyne/2020/06/18/following-trumps-protest-antics-young-voters-turn-hard-against-him-according-to-exclusive-new-poll/#68b2434a363d" target="_blank">31 percent</a> with young people nationally, but can't crack 20 percent in Republican-leaning Georgia? Meanwhile, Clinton took 63 percent of millennials in 2016, but OANN wants us to believe Biden is doing nine points worse? That's just straight bullshit.</p><p>The 30-49 numbers are no better. Trump 57, and Biden 35? What the fuck? OANN says they weighted for voter demographics, but unless they weighted based on the 30-44 crowd in Wyoming, these results don't make any sense. In 2016, this vote went for Hillary <a href="Trump%2057-%20Biden%2035.%20What%20the%20fuck" target="_blank">51-44</a> in Georgia. Apparently there has been a fundamental shift in this crowd between 2016 and 2020 and only OANN noticed it.</p><p>
And speaking of fundamental shifts in the electorate, if Biden really is winning the 50-64 crowd by 10 points as OANN predicts, then Trump is in deep shit. For comparison, <a href="https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/06/Fox_June-20-23-2020_Complete_Georgia_Topline_June-25-Release.pdf" target="_blank">Fox</a> has Trump leading by 11 points with Georgia voters over 45. In 2016, he won this cohort 57-41, and in 2018 Brian Kemp's margin was 57-42. If OANN's numbers were right, Trump would lose Georgia in a landslide.</p><p>
The senior vote number isn't too bad, though. It looks like a reasonable snapshot of where Georgia seniors are right now. OANN gets its second gold star!</p><h2>Gender</h2><p>
The splits by gender are horseshit, too. In 2016 Trump was at 60 percent with men in Georgia, and 43 percent with women. According to OANN, those numbers are at 54 and 42 percent today, meaning Trump became eight points less popular with men and one point less popular with women. Leave aside that suburban women have been abandoning the GOP in droves. There is no way in hell Trump can carry Georgia by three percent if his margin with men is down to just 15 points. That would probably lead to a Biden victory in the four to five point range.</p><h2>And so on!</h2><p>
There aren't enough pixels in the world to go through every goofy thing about this poll, so here are some of the highlights:
</p><ul class="ee-ul">
<li>GOP Senators David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler are getting 20 percent of the black vote;</li>
<li>Trump has a 25 percent approval rating among African Americans, 51 percent approval rating among Asian-Americans, and a 62 percent approval among Hispanics;</li>
<li>Brian Kemp has a 48 percent approval rating among African Americans, 71 percent approval rating among Asian-Americans (with none strongly disapproving), and a 77 percent approval rating among Hispanics;</li>
<li> Kelly Loeffler has a 40 percent approval among African Americans;</li>
<li>Asked about voting behavior in 2016, 78 percent of African-American respondents in this poll voted for Hillary Clinton, as opposed to 11 percent who voted for Trump (she won them 89-9);</li>
<li>Hispanic participants in this poll? 31-30 for Trump in 2016 (actual results were 67-27 Hillary in 2016);</li>
<li>In 2016, 16 percent of Hispanic respondents in this poll supported Gary Johnson, and 14 percent supported Jill Stein. (In the actual election, six percent supported Gary Johnson, and there wasn't enough data on Jill Stein's vote);</li>
<li>In 2016, white respondents to their poll say they backed Trump 65-25. (they backed him 75-21);</li>
<li>There is no question about Trump's handling of coronavirus or race relations;</li>
<li>There is no crosstab asking about religion. (I want to know what Georgian Jews think of Trump.) </li>
</ul><p>
Polling is never an exact science, and it's really hard. But Gravis Marketing and OANN <em>disrespect the profession</em> when they put out shit like this. </p><p>But we guess their job is just to make Trump feel better, so ... </p><p>[<a href="https://www.scribd.com/document/468898889/Oann-Gravis-Georgia#download" target="_blank">OANN Georgia Poll</a> / <a href="https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/georgia/president" target="_blank">CNN Exit Polls 2016</a>]<br></p><p><strong>Follow me on Twitter at <a href="https://twitter.com/TheDataGoon" target="_blank">@TheDataGoon</a>!</strong></p><p><strong>Click <a href="https://www.wonkette.com/st/Subscriptions" target="_blank">here</a> to support your Wonkette.</strong></p><p></p><form name="donation" method="post" class="donation-form"><p class="subheadline">How often would you like to donate?</p><div class="form-row row--plan"><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="once" class="plan-type" required="" checked> Just once
</label><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="monthly" class="plan-type" required=""> Monthly
</label></div><div class="form-row row--amount"><p class="subheadline">Select an amount (USD)</p><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="200" data-value="2.00" data-amount="Two Dollars">$2</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2500" data-value="25.00" data-amount="Twenty Five Dollars">$25</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="500" data-value="5.00" data-amount="Five Dollars">$5</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="5000" data-value="50.00" data-amount="Fifty Dollars">$50</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1000" data-value="10.00" data-amount="Ten Dollars" checked>$10</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="10000" data-value="100.00" data-amount="One Hundred Dollars">$100</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1500" data-value="15.00" data-amount="Fifteen Dollars">$15</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="50000" data-value="500.00" data-amount="Five Hundred Dollars">$500</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2000" data-value="20.00" data-amount="Twenty Dollars">$20</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="100000" data-value="1000.00" data-amount="One Thousand Dollars">$1000</label></div><div class="row--buttons"><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="strip"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208879/2000x.png" alt="Credit cards" class="donate-button__img"></button><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="paypal"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208880/2000x.png" alt="PayPal" class="donate-button__img"></button></div></form><p></p>
Keep reading...
Show less
polls
GOP Strategy Of Clinging To Trump For Dear Life Paying Off. For Democrats.
Poll porn on a Wednesday? Don't mind if we do!
July 08, 2020 04:24 PM
How many times a day does Lindsey Graham think about that video of him saying "If we nominate Donald Trump, we will get destroyed, and we will deserve it"? One hundred? One thousand? Every time he checks the president's Twitter feed?
With the caveat that we're four months from Election Day and you RUN THROUGH THE TAPE, etc., Graham's words look more prophetic by the hour. This morning, the Cook Political Report moved Georgia to the "Toss Up Column" for the presidential race. Georgia!
As Cook's Amy Walter writes:
This election is looking more like a Democratic tsunami than simply a Blue wave. President Trump, mired in some of the lowest job approval ratings of his presidency, is trailing Biden by significant margins in key battleground states like Pennsylvania (8 points), Michigan (9 points), and Wisconsin (9 points). He's even running behind Biden in his firewall states of Florida and North Carolina.
Put it in our veins, Ma'am! The magic number is 270, and if Cook is right about Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan going Democratic, that puts Biden at 279 without Arizona, Florida, or North Carolina.
If Donald Trump could stop being a crazy, racist loon, he might be able to turn it around. And if a frog had wings, he wouldn't bump his ass a-hoppin'.
<div id="d3590" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="42f71cc8d8a63dd39e3b617e75adba6d"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet twitter-custom-tweet" data-twitter-tweet-id="1280328830218051584" data-partner="rebelmouse"><div style="margin:1em 0">The highly respected Henry Ford Health System just reported, based on a large sampling, that HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE cut… https://t.co/7FyNftx2UX</div> — Donald J. Trump (@Donald J. Trump)<a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/statuses/1280328830218051584">1594089155.0</a></blockquote></div><p>Ummmmm ....</p><p>Meanwhile, downballot, Trump is intent upon dragging his party into the ditch with him. </p><p>"If they don't embrace [me], they're going to lose, because, you know, I have a very hard base. I have the strongest base people have ever seen," he <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/19/trump-interview-mail-voting-329307" target="_blank">told</a> Politico last month. (Try not to think about his rock hard base.)</p><p>And indeed, it looks like Trump is the greatest turnout machine ever, just not in the way he thinks. Thanks to <a href="https://www.wonkette.com/trump-hairball-brad-parscale-says-trump-actually-winning-bless-his-heart" target="_blank">negative partisanship</a>, i.e., we hate that fucker's guts and are terrified of giving him another four years in power, Democratic candidates are sitting on a giant mountain of cash. </p><p>The <em>New York Times</em> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/us/politics/democrats-senate-fundraising.html" target="_blank">reports</a> that Sarah Gideon, Susan Collins's likely Democratic challenger, raised $8 million in the second quarter. That's $5 million more than Collins netted, with <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/maine/" target="_blank">polls</a> showing them neck and neck. No wonder Collins is noping out of the <a href="https://www.wonkette.com/turns-out-no-one-wants-to-come-to-rnc-superspreader-convention-in-covid-hotspot-whodathunkit" target="_blank">RNC's Superspreader Covidpalooza</a> in Jacksonville next month.</p><p>While most Republican Senate candidates haven't released their Q2 fundraising totals yet — because they're nothing to brag about? — Cal Cunningham in North Carolina raked in $7.4 million, while Montana Governor Steve Bullock's hauled in $7.7 million. </p><p>And Lindsey Graham's craven embrace of Donald Trump has made his South Carolina Senate race <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/south-carolina/" target="_blank">surprisingly competitive</a>. His challenger Jaime Harrison pulled in a whopping $13.9 million! </p><div id="00d0a" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="eac2ce4fcc5ee1579ec0ead3ee658fb9"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet twitter-custom-tweet" data-twitter-tweet-id="1280476008370647040" data-partner="rebelmouse"><div style="margin:1em 0">🔥🔥 Folks, I am FIRED UP! We raised nearly $14 MILLION last quarter 🔥🔥
I cannot describe how grateful I am for your… https://t.co/ZmbTcM91Yu</div> — Jaime Harrison (@Jaime Harrison)<a href="https://twitter.com/harrisonjaime/statuses/1280476008370647040">1594124245.0</a></blockquote></div><p>God bless!</p><p>So, let's just do a little back of the envelope math here, 'kay? If Biden wins the White House, then the blue team needs a net gain of three seats to take control of the senate. In Arizona, Martha McSally lost to a bisexual ex-Mormon in 2018, and now she's running against IRL astronaut Mark Kelly. Cory Gardner in Colorado is trailing John Hickenlooper by <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/colorado/" target="_blank">double digits.</a> But in <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/alabama/" target="_blank">Alabama</a>, Tommy Tuberville is probably <a href="https://www.wonkette.com/tommy-tuberville-let-rapey-fball-player-off-with-one-game-suspension" target="_blank">not quite vile enough</a> to lose to Democrat Doug Jones. So we need to pick up two seats out of <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/north-carolina/" target="_blank">North Carolina</a>, <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/montana/" target="_blank">Montana</a>, <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/south-carolina/" target="_blank">South Carolina</a>, <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/maine/" target="_blank">Maine</a>, <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/iowa/" target="_blank">Iowa</a>, <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/kansas/" target="_blank">Kansas</a>, and <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/georgia/" target="_blank">Georgia</a>. We might <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/kentucky/" target="_blank">not be able</a> to send Mitch McConnell packing this time, but at least we can take his gavel!</p><p>And just to make this day even sweeter, guess who just found Biden leading by 10 whole points?</p><p>Only Donald Trump's second favorite pollster <a href="https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_jul08" target="_blank">Rasmussen</a>! <em>Et tu, Rassus</em>?</p><div id="5317f" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="1235ba6c7bdd39347b9e334c6c676122"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet twitter-custom-tweet" data-twitter-tweet-id="1280896633719468033" data-partner="rebelmouse"><div style="margin:1em 0">Rasmussen: Election is Trump’s to lose, and he's doing that, 40% to Biden's 50% https://t.co/E2IxrqJ4pr</div> — Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen Reports)<a href="https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/statuses/1280896633719468033">1594224530.0</a></blockquote></div><p><em>Womp, womp! </em></p><p>It ain't over, 'til it's over, of course. But it's looking like Lindsey Graham was exactly right.</p><p>What time is it? OPEN THREAD. </p><p>[<a href="https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/new-july-2020-electoral-college-ratings" target="_blank">Cook Political</a> / <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/us/politics/democrats-senate-fundraising.html" target="_blank">NYT</a>]</p><p><strong>Follow Liz Dye on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/5DollarFeminist" target="_blank">RIGHT HERE!</a></strong></p><p><strong>Please click here to support your Wonkette. And if you're ordering your quarantine goods on Amazon, <a href="https://amzn.to/2wbH77j" target="_blank">this is the link to do it.</a></strong></p><p></p><form name="donation" method="post" class="donation-form"><p class="subheadline">How often would you like to donate?</p><div class="form-row row--plan"><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="once" class="plan-type" required="" checked> Just once
</label><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="monthly" class="plan-type" required=""> Monthly
</label></div><div class="form-row row--amount"><p class="subheadline">Select an amount (USD)</p><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="200" data-value="2.00" data-amount="Two Dollars">$2</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2500" data-value="25.00" data-amount="Twenty Five Dollars">$25</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="500" data-value="5.00" data-amount="Five Dollars">$5</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="5000" data-value="50.00" data-amount="Fifty Dollars">$50</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1000" data-value="10.00" data-amount="Ten Dollars" checked>$10</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="10000" data-value="100.00" data-amount="One Hundred Dollars">$100</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1500" data-value="15.00" data-amount="Fifteen Dollars">$15</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="50000" data-value="500.00" data-amount="Five Hundred Dollars">$500</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2000" data-value="20.00" data-amount="Twenty Dollars">$20</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="100000" data-value="1000.00" data-amount="One Thousand Dollars">$1000</label></div><div class="row--buttons"><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="strip"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208879/2000x.png" alt="Credit cards" class="donate-button__img"></button><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="paypal"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208880/2000x.png" alt="PayPal" class="donate-button__img"></button></div></form><p></p>
Keep reading...
Show less
2020 presidential election
Democrats Fully United Behind Biden For An Old-Fashioned Trump Whoopin'
Dems are so not in disarray!
July 08, 2020 03:13 PM
Democrats love them some Joe Biden. He's either the ultimate unity candidate or we just hate Donald Trump with a singularity of purpose never previously seen. Democrats aren't always good at staying on message but “we want to make Trump hurt" has resonated. It's inspired us to put aside any petty squabbles and just focus on bringing the pain on Election Day.
The New York Times polled six battleground states and found that Biden enjoys ridiculous levels of support from Democrats. This includes voters who'd supported another candidate during the primary. Bernie Sanders supporters back Biden over Trump's dumb ass 87 percent to 4 percent. There's no Bernie or Bust here! Biden rocks the house even more with Elizabeth Warren's supporters. They're with Biden 96 percent to zero — as in nothing, you lose, good day, Mr. Russian Asset President. That's better than Biden's own primary voters — one percent of whom apparently support Trump now. We're gonna assume that's a rounding error.
<div id="d5c59" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="d93b7cd93238f2715538add5c9a2532e"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet twitter-custom-tweet" data-twitter-tweet-id="1280552659565469697" data-partner="rebelmouse"><div style="margin:1em 0">Character belongs in the White House. https://t.co/Bz1syMprhJ</div> — Joe Biden (@Joe Biden)<a href="https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/statuses/1280552659565469697">1594142520.0</a></blockquote></div><p>It's hard to compare 2020 to 2016. I sure as hell don't want to get into it right now. Suffice it to say that Democratic Party unity was harder to achieve in 2016. But we were also enjoying the final months of Barack Obama's presidency. Trump loomed large, but we've now had four long years — 50 of which were spent confined to our homes — to fully appreciate how serious a threat President Klan Robe is. Our prevailing goal since Inauguration Day 2017 has been defeating Trump.<br></p><p>Biden performs the weakest among supporters of Mike Bloomberg and Amy Klobuchar. Eight and nine percent respectively are considering injecting bleach for another four years. That's still impressive: In 2008, <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/11/04/exit.polls/" target="_blank">15 percent of Democrats</a> who supported Hillary Clinton voted for John McCain in the general election, and about 12 percent of Sanders's supporters in 2016 voted for Trump. There also weren't that many Bloomberg/Klobuchar supporters, so Trump shouldn't get that excited over those scraps. </p><p>There was a lot of debate after the 2016 election over whether Sanders “defectors" or third-party voters cost Clinton the election, especially in key swing states where Trump's margin of victory was a percentage point or less. I don't want to resume that debate. My point is just that this isn't an issue for 2020. Democrats are collectively riding with Biden and we haven't even had our Zoom convention yet. I say this while knocking on every wooden item within reach, but these numbers would indicate that Biden is on track to hold every state Clinton won plus restore the blue wall with <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DfwHe0NqVvY" target="_blank">magic Superman vision. </a> </p><p>Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.wonkette.com/trump-hairball-brad-parscale-says-trump-actually-winning-bless-his-heart" target="_blank">Trump is collapsing</a> among key demos — all the old people he's tried to kill, and <a href="https://wamu.org/story/20/06/25/how-racial-unrest-is-motivating-white-voters-in-one-key-michigan-county/" target="_blank">his virulent racism</a> plus his overall incompetence, has suburban voters fleeing the GOP in droves. </p><p>Some more fun news: Trump and the GOP have tried to dust off their tired "scary Black people" routine but voters aren't interested. </p><p>From <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/blog/meet-press-blog-latest-news-analysis-data-driving-political-discussion-n988541/ncrd1233158#blogHeader" target="_blank">NBC News:</a></p><blockquote>The <a href="https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_US_070820/" target="_blank">new survey from Monmouth University</a> found that 77 percent of American adults say that "defund the police" means to "change the way the police departments operate," not to eliminate them. That view is shared by 73 percent of white, non-college educated Americans and two-thirds of Republicans, Trump's core voters. <br><br>Just 18 percent of Americans say the movement wants to "get rid of police departments," a view shared by only 28 percent of Republicans and 18 percent of independents.</blockquote><p>Trump's campaign has spent $3 million in the past week trying to paint <a href="https://www.wonkette.com/gun-toting-st-louis-lawyers-defend-their-home-from-people-existing-nearby" target="_blank">“Biden's America"</a> as one where criminal mobs run rampant while the police hide underground from Bane's army. His accomplices on Fox News promote the same dystopian narrative. But <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZkjo3mNmsA" target="_blank">like a dull knife, it just ain't cutting. </a></p><p>Sixty-two percent of Americans believe Trump's handling of police protests has “made the situation worse." Only 38 percent think Black Live Matter has worsened race relations, but 71 percent believe the movement has "brought attention to real racial disparities in American society."</p><p>Trump is failing at every level. He can't paint Biden as a “radical" because, well, he's not one, and more importantly, voters just <a href="https://morningconsult.com/2020/06/01/biden-trump-trust-protests-race-polling/" target="_blank">trust Biden</a> more than Trump. He can hump all the Confederate statues he wants, but he's still getting his ass kicked.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/08/upshot/democrats-united-poll-election.html" target="_blank">New York Times</a>]<br></p><p><em>Follow Stephen Robinson on </em><em><a href="https://twitter.com/SER1897" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p><p><a href="https://amzn.to/33mKzZe" target="_blank">Do your Amazon shopping through this link, because reasons</a>. Or buy your <a href="https://wonkettebazaar.com/products/old-handsome-joe-biden-mens-and-womens-tees-womens-tanks" target="_blank">Old Handsome Joe merch from th</a>e Bazaar! </p><p><strong>Yr Wonkette is 100 percent ad free and entirely supported entirely by reader donations. That's you! So please click the clickie if you can!</strong></p><p></p><form name="donation" method="post" class="donation-form"><p class="subheadline">How often would you like to donate?</p><div class="form-row row--plan"><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="once" class="plan-type" required="" checked> Just once
</label><label class="plan-type__label"><input type="radio" name="plan_type" value="monthly" class="plan-type" required=""> Monthly
</label></div><div class="form-row row--amount"><p class="subheadline">Select an amount (USD)</p><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="200" data-value="2.00" data-amount="Two Dollars">$2</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2500" data-value="25.00" data-amount="Twenty Five Dollars">$25</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="500" data-value="5.00" data-amount="Five Dollars">$5</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="5000" data-value="50.00" data-amount="Fifty Dollars">$50</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1000" data-value="10.00" data-amount="Ten Dollars" checked>$10</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="10000" data-value="100.00" data-amount="One Hundred Dollars">$100</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="1500" data-value="15.00" data-amount="Fifteen Dollars">$15</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="50000" data-value="500.00" data-amount="Five Hundred Dollars">$500</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="2000" data-value="20.00" data-amount="Twenty Dollars">$20</label><label class="amount__label"><input type="radio" name="amount" class="amount" value="100000" data-value="1000.00" data-amount="One Thousand Dollars">$1000</label></div><div class="row--buttons"><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="strip"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208879/2000x.png" alt="Credit cards" class="donate-button__img"></button><button type="submit" class="donate-button" data-payment="paypal"><img src="https://assets.rbl.ms/18208880/2000x.png" alt="PayPal" class="donate-button__img"></button></div></form><br><p></p>
Keep reading...
Show less
Newsletter
©2018 by Commie Girl Industries, Inc
