The cruelty might be the point, but it’s not effective fundraising.
Joe Biden is ahead of Donald Trump in the polls — including Texas (tee hee!). Now, he's lapping President Klan Robe in fundraising. Biden's campaign brought in more than $141 million in June, a full $10 million more than Trump's ragamuffin operation. Handsome Joe likely benefitted from the virtual fundraisers Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, and Elizabeth Warren held last month.
Trump has more cash on hand right now, but the vice president has either tied or exceeded Trump's efforts since becoming the presumptive nominee in April. Biden's average online donation was $34, and his campaign said 68 percent of all donors were newly malarkey free.
Brad Parscale, Trump's campaign manager and organizer of his Empty Seat Convention in Tulsa, Oklahoma, still insists there's no “enthusiasm" for the Democratic nominee.
"No one is excited about Joe Biden, which is why he has to rely so heavily on surrogates like Barack Obama and radical Hollywood elites."
There's evidence that Team Trump is worried about its cash flow, because the campaign's fundraising emails have a growing air of desperation. This one from Eric Trump is rude and hectoring.
How to make a bad poll in just 486 easy steps!
With Fox News and Rasmussen both showing Donald Trump down by double digits, the president has taken to scream-tweeting about "Fake Suppression Polls," unlike his "VERY GOOD internal Polling Numbers," which he won't be sharing with you, so don't even ask. Luckily, Trump's favorite off-brand Fox News substitute, the One America News Network (OANN), has cooked up some polls in swing states to please the sad MAGA man.
Faced with the daunting task of showing Trump winning bigly, OANN has started polling swing states like North Carolina, Arizona, and most recently Georgia. You already know these polls are junk. But let's reach up the ass end of that Georgia poll and see exactly what went wrong.
First Order of Business: Check the Survey Method
According to OANN, "The survey was collected from respondents using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users." What the hell does that mean? A good pollster will aim for 50 percent landline and 50 percent cell phone respondents, usually live callers only. Presumably, the Gravis polling company conducted its survey by calling and texting people, but we have no way of knowing. Was it cellphones? Landlines? Text? Twitter poll? That sentence of gibberish could mean a lot of different things.
Second Order of Business: Sample Size
Any good poll, will sample about 800-1500 people, depending on the state. The OANN poll sampled 513 likely voters, off to a great start.
Poll porn on a Wednesday? Don't mind if we do!
How many times a day does Lindsey Graham think about that video of him saying "If we nominate Donald Trump, we will get destroyed, and we will deserve it"? One hundred? One thousand? Every time he checks the president's Twitter feed?
With the caveat that we're four months from Election Day and you RUN THROUGH THE TAPE, etc., Graham's words look more prophetic by the hour. This morning, the Cook Political Report moved Georgia to the "Toss Up Column" for the presidential race. Georgia!
As Cook's Amy Walter writes:
This election is looking more like a Democratic tsunami than simply a Blue wave. President Trump, mired in some of the lowest job approval ratings of his presidency, is trailing Biden by significant margins in key battleground states like Pennsylvania (8 points), Michigan (9 points), and Wisconsin (9 points). He's even running behind Biden in his firewall states of Florida and North Carolina.
Put it in our veins, Ma'am! The magic number is 270, and if Cook is right about Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan going Democratic, that puts Biden at 279 without Arizona, Florida, or North Carolina.
If Donald Trump could stop being a crazy, racist loon, he might be able to turn it around. And if a frog had wings, he wouldn't bump his ass a-hoppin'.
Dems are so not in disarray!
Democrats love them some Joe Biden. He's either the ultimate unity candidate or we just hate Donald Trump with a singularity of purpose never previously seen. Democrats aren't always good at staying on message but “we want to make Trump hurt" has resonated. It's inspired us to put aside any petty squabbles and just focus on bringing the pain on Election Day.
The New York Times polled six battleground states and found that Biden enjoys ridiculous levels of support from Democrats. This includes voters who'd supported another candidate during the primary. Bernie Sanders supporters back Biden over Trump's dumb ass 87 percent to 4 percent. There's no Bernie or Bust here! Biden rocks the house even more with Elizabeth Warren's supporters. They're with Biden 96 percent to zero — as in nothing, you lose, good day, Mr. Russian Asset President. That's better than Biden's own primary voters — one percent of whom apparently support Trump now. We're gonna assume that's a rounding error.