NewsNovember 02, 2010 09:21 AM
Nate Silver Says Democrats Might Not Lose 1,000 Seats
The Democrats will "win" today, because of cellphones:
A lot of American adults (now about one-quarter of them) have ditched landlines and rely exclusively on mobile phones, and a lot of pollsters don’t call mobile phones. Cellphone-only voters tend to be younger, more urban, and less white — all Democratic demographics — and a study by Pew Research suggests that the failure to include them might bias the polls by about 4 points against Democrats, even after demographic weighting is applied.