Can someone help me understand something? How do the statistics people come up with their democratic voting results? It can't be just exit interviews. I was told that they use the demographics of the voting district, but that doesn't explain how they know what portion of what demographic voted for whom. They must have some way of getting demographics of the voters without getting their names. Otherwise, I they are trusting people to say they voted in a way that they didn't. Does anyone know?
I’ve polled professionally. First, you look at the results of the last election, then you identify a subset of those voters to identify and ask. Then, if you’re good, a picture emerges.
All polling leaves room for people to lie. Polling is broken for entirely different reasons - namely, that it doesn't get random, representative samples - but exit polling is much better than most others. If widespread lying on polls were a significant problem, we'd have seen much more evidence of it than we have.
He knew. He intentionally stiffed them because he’s an arrogant prick who sues his OB/GYN patients. They repeatedly tried to get the bill paid. Then someone posted their pleas on social media. A bunch of us retweeted it. It went viral. ONLY THEN did this scumbag pay.
<Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) paid a Kansas bakery $1,300 on Saturday after its owner publicly accused his campaign of leaving a nearly $700 bill unpaid for six years.
The payment came days after Holly Thomas, owner of Holly’s Sweet Treats in Hutchinson, Kan., said Marshall’s 2020 Senate campaign never paid for cookies, cupcakes and brownies ordered for his Republican primary election watch party.>
No, it really doesn't. Marshall paid only because his calculus was that not paying might actually be the thing that finally costs him the election. Paying them was nothing but a cost of doing business in the criminal sense of the phrase.
This ... troglodyte ... sued his OB/GYN patients for unpaid bills but LEFT HIS OWN BILLS UNPAID FOR SIX YEARS
Just like Donald
do y'all hear me
Some of us are deploying our electoral resources in other states but PLEASE make sure the Methodist minister beats this man into the ground in November
Another wonderful Nice Timesᵀᴹ post to brighten our day. Thanks Ziggy. Your sketch is beautiful and your writing and curating are top notch as always. Also, thanks to all the Wonkers who contributed, you folks are so talented. And that mushroom M & Z harvested. Wow! I am amazed at the skills you two possess.
Given the baby animals theme I imagine someone else may have already shared a link to the Cheetah cub web cam to observe the 5 cubs that were born about a week ago at the Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute (SCBI) in Front Royal, Virginia. However, it can't hurt to repeat something like that.
At Clarksville rally Trump told crowd
"Nobody has more contempt for Trump's fans than Trump."
We have now entered the "do you want daddy to hit you here, or there ?" phase of their sadomasochist relationship . . .
And they cheered and laughed and laughed.
I posted (much earlier) a BlueSky message, but this is a trusted source: 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮'𝘀 𝗬𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗲𝘅 𝗯𝗼𝘁 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰 𝗻𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗹𝘆 𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗮𝗳𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗨𝗸𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗱𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗽𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗺𝘂𝗹𝘁𝗶𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗼𝗳 '𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮'𝘀 𝗚𝗼𝗼𝗴𝗹𝗲' 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀 — 𝗨𝗸𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗳𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗯𝗼𝗺𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗳 𝗬𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗲𝘅 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗽𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗠𝗼𝘀𝗰𝗼𝘄’𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲𝘀 𝗼𝗻 𝗞𝘆𝗶𝘃 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀
The world is getting a break from Russian bots thanks to Kyiv. https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/data-centers/russian-disinformation-bot-traffic-nearly-eliminated-overnight-after-ukraine-drone-strikes-cripple-multiple-of-russias-google-data-centers-ukraine-intensifies-bombing-of-yandex-data-centers-in-response-to-moscows-strikes-on-kyiv-data-centers
YES!
Team Ukraine, always!
Makes sense, doesn't it?
https://bsky.app/profile/meccalopolis.bsky.social/post/3mxmjs5axk226
I haven’t seen that much smoke in one place since my college band opened for Fishbone.
The Tom's Hardware article is above.
Nice, thanks!
Well now where am I gonna get my info on democrats eating children?
Any wonder why trump doesn't like Ukraine bombing Russia ? . . .
If you think about it, a Giraffe is just a really tall goat.
Giraffes are my favorite animal, because I've always wanted to be tall.
Not at all. Giraffes have chill. Goats are dicks with ADHD.
giraffes, like chows and shar peis,
have purple tongues
(two of those are related ;] )
The goat I took care of when I was a child was lovely and gentle and I loved her.
You lucked out. I also raised goats and met maybe two cool ones.
Yeah, I think I did. The goats my dad took care of when he was a kid were jerks and would head butt him, LOL!
Giraffe Cheese!
Are you going to try to milk that thing?
Imagine the pizzas.
YES!
alternatively,
GAH!!!
Common! Your kids will all be basketball players!
that's not how any of this works dot meme!
Another slice?
runs awaaaaay
That's why people don't think about it . . .
Was this an error in the subtitle transcription, or AI? You decide.
"𝘪𝘵’𝘴 𝘢 𝘴𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘰 𝘣𝘦 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘵𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢 𝘴𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘰 𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘭𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘦𝘢𝘵 𝘧𝘦𝘦𝘵" [JD Vance]
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6141240-hamilton-slams-vance-faith-attacks/
Perhaps this little V.Piggy's into shrimping*? I hear couch humping is a gateway kink.
*That's toe sucking, to spare those who don't know from googlin'
No wonder Usha sends him to the couch.
Maybe he meant trotters.
They're eating the trotters. They're eating the mustangs.
Thanks Trump.
Hes a jeenyus
https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2zmlpiynrrzsqsq2m3b4waxe/bafkreihpft23ot2fcavg6ifyb246y6kj6cv3mydo6gyv23brp4m4qwdwp4
We export nearly a third of the diesel we produce.
This isn't about prices hear.
"What do you get a totalitarian that has everything ?" . . .
Worth repeating,
MAGA can’t do math. It’s just science.
You can bet Carney is having a field day.
https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:kbtnc422o6464xdvrmyjm6nj/bafkreibzdg67xszat3fmoieryrsfuxqhl57oawmdznaixflhrjymykxkge
Love the pictures in the background.
Mom's back in the den cleaning the kids: https://nationalzoo.si.edu/webcams/cheetah-cub-cam
So cute!
Can someone help me understand something? How do the statistics people come up with their democratic voting results? It can't be just exit interviews. I was told that they use the demographics of the voting district, but that doesn't explain how they know what portion of what demographic voted for whom. They must have some way of getting demographics of the voters without getting their names. Otherwise, I they are trusting people to say they voted in a way that they didn't. Does anyone know?
I’ve polled professionally. First, you look at the results of the last election, then you identify a subset of those voters to identify and ask. Then, if you’re good, a picture emerges.
Exit interviews.
More commonly called exit polls.
Didn't that leave room for people to lie?
All polling leaves room for people to lie. Polling is broken for entirely different reasons - namely, that it doesn't get random, representative samples - but exit polling is much better than most others. If widespread lying on polls were a significant problem, we'd have seen much more evidence of it than we have.
I haven't watched SNL in a long time but I've gotten into reruns of Kate McKinnon making the rest break up.
When she did the "Michelle Pfieffer Catwoman" bit - "And I have a whip, as cats do". I was in tears.
Her alien abductee always makes me hysterical.
Me too! It's funny when Ryan Gosling gets the giggles, but when she made Pedro Pascal and Woody Harrelson break, that was amazing.
And "It wasn't my worst Wednesday Night, I can tell you that."
She's so entertainingly offbeat. It's like she's from another dimension.
Her timing and her willingness to do anything for a bit are just outstanding.
Beautiful drawing!
Thank you Demme!
Tomorrow is "Indigenous People's Day" here in NM, none of that Christopher Columbus shit here.
my calendar says the same; i don't give a rat's ass what ohio says.
Well that’s because everyone knows Columbus landed at the Ohio capitol.
WTF is the deal with rich people stiffing the rest of us anyway?
Ron Filipkowski
@ronfilipkowski.bsky.social
He knew. He intentionally stiffed them because he’s an arrogant prick who sues his OB/GYN patients. They repeatedly tried to get the bill paid. Then someone posted their pleas on social media. A bunch of us retweeted it. It went viral. ONLY THEN did this scumbag pay.
<Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) paid a Kansas bakery $1,300 on Saturday after its owner publicly accused his campaign of leaving a nearly $700 bill unpaid for six years.
The payment came days after Holly Thomas, owner of Holly’s Sweet Treats in Hutchinson, Kan., said Marshall’s 2020 Senate campaign never paid for cookies, cupcakes and brownies ordered for his Republican primary election watch party.>
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/marshall-pays-bakery-bill-after-complaint-goes-viral/ar-AA2e0Bwg
Shaming them does work
No, it really doesn't. Marshall paid only because his calculus was that not paying might actually be the thing that finally costs him the election. Paying them was nothing but a cost of doing business in the criminal sense of the phrase.
I pray to the non existent god that he loses handily.
"𝐻𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑑 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑚 𝑏𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑠𝑒 ℎ𝑒’𝑠 𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑔𝑎𝑛𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑘 𝑤ℎ𝑜 𝑠𝑢𝑒𝑠 ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑂𝐵/𝐺𝑌𝑁 𝑝𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠. 𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑦 𝑟𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑𝑙𝑦 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑔𝑒𝑡 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑙 𝑝𝑎𝑖𝑑. 𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑛 𝑠𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑖𝑟 𝑝𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑠 𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑜𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑎. 𝐴 𝑏𝑢𝑛𝑐ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑢𝑠 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑡. 𝐼𝑡 𝑤𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑣𝑖𝑟𝑎𝑙. 𝑂𝑁𝐿𝑌 𝑇𝐻𝐸𝑁 𝑑𝑖𝑑 𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑠𝑐𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑎𝑔 𝑝𝑎𝑦.
<𝑆𝑒𝑛. 𝑅𝑜𝑔𝑒𝑟 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑙𝑙 (𝑅-𝐾𝑎𝑛.) 𝑝𝑎𝑖𝑑 𝑎 𝐾𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑎𝑠 𝑏𝑎𝑘𝑒𝑟𝑦 $1,300 𝑜𝑛 𝑆𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑑𝑎𝑦 𝑎𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟 𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑜𝑤𝑛𝑒𝑟 𝑝𝑢𝑏𝑙𝑖𝑐𝑙𝑦 𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑢𝑠𝑒𝑑 ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑐𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑎𝑖𝑔𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑣𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎 𝑛𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑙𝑦 $700 𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑙 𝑢𝑛𝑝𝑎𝑖𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑠𝑖𝑥 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠."
Okay, wait
Just wait
This ... troglodyte ... sued his OB/GYN patients for unpaid bills but LEFT HIS OWN BILLS UNPAID FOR SIX YEARS
Just like Donald
do y'all hear me
Some of us are deploying our electoral resources in other states but PLEASE make sure the Methodist minister beats this man into the ground in November
“Here’s a sweet treat you can stick up your ass, deadbeat!”
Shaming them *can* work. It's far from a guarantee.
It only works when they are under great great pressure... that's why we cannot let up....
Yep, pressure like fear of losing his fucking job!
Another wonderful Nice Timesᵀᴹ post to brighten our day. Thanks Ziggy. Your sketch is beautiful and your writing and curating are top notch as always. Also, thanks to all the Wonkers who contributed, you folks are so talented. And that mushroom M & Z harvested. Wow! I am amazed at the skills you two possess.
Given the baby animals theme I imagine someone else may have already shared a link to the Cheetah cub web cam to observe the 5 cubs that were born about a week ago at the Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute (SCBI) in Front Royal, Virginia. However, it can't hurt to repeat something like that.
https://nationalzoo.si.edu/webcams/cheetah-cub-cam
Thanks AD and thanks for the link!
Love the Foo Fighters song!
Dave Grohl is such a mensch!
(I also love the way they "brace" themselves when they play.)
Except for the whole secret family thing.
Foo Fighters!
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cqrG6JXsPPw
Florida Man running for Governor arrested for attacking people with a cane and threatening to kill cops. Three guesses as to party affiliation https://www.reddit.com/r/FloridaMan/s/mkHY3rl6qU
Official Monster Raving Loony Party?
He's listed as Disqualified from the Democratic Primary.
At least according to Ballotpedia.
But overqualified for the GOP
Not enough financial crime to qualify.
And he's into beating seniors, not his wife.
Prior conviction for spousal abuse
I’m sure there’s financial crimes too
"Kevin Cichowski, an aspiring Florida governor,"
Fucking AI. Speak--er, write, English!
In the comments:
The article states he is running on the promise to rid the state of old people so, that makes sense.
“SAY‘WHAT’ ONE MORE TIME MFER!”
New Year's Eve?
Summer's Eve. Because he's a douche.
NAZI??!
Monster Raving Looney Party?
I swear to you that I will never scroll down!
Tarquin Fin-tim-lin-bin-whin-bim-lim-bus-stop-F'tang-F'tang-Olé-Biscuitbarrel?
Jethro Q. Walrustitty.
Bon dimanche mes petit frottage rustique.
A doubler for you this week:
The usual palate cleanser;
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cq0ldwyxwzx9o
And some sunrises;
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqz0vrx17vd5o
"Frottage rustique?" You naughty person.
Rusty Cheese??
I have my moments.
All well?
So far, in my little corner of space-time.
Don't look now, but there's a wormhole in your closet.
On second thought, you might want to look while there still is a "now."
I have a tame shoggoth in there. (eyebrow wiggle)