Reader Mail: Two Percent Is Sort of a Mandate and 89 is a Sample
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Yesterday, we took up Dan Froomkin's analysis of the NBC poll that showed Bush with only two percent approval rating among black people. The sample seemed especially small (807 people, 89 blacks), and the number -- even for Bush -- staggeringly low. What's more, a poll with a larger sample (Pew) gave Bush an approval rating of 12 percent among black. But, hey, whaddya know: Maybe black people really do hate Bush that much. Though, as our kind Statistics Operative suggests, "[I]f NBC/WSJ wanted to find out how blacks felt about Bush, they would poll a larger sample. But with approval this low, the result is not going to be exactly suspenseful." Full explanation after the jump.
Reader Mail: Two Percent Is Sort of a Mandate and 89 is a Sample
Reader Mail: Two Percent Is Sort of a Mandate…
Reader Mail: Two Percent Is Sort of a Mandate and 89 is a Sample
Yesterday, we took up Dan Froomkin's analysis of the NBC poll that showed Bush with only two percent approval rating among black people. The sample seemed especially small (807 people, 89 blacks), and the number -- even for Bush -- staggeringly low. What's more, a poll with a larger sample (Pew) gave Bush an approval rating of 12 percent among black. But, hey, whaddya know: Maybe black people really do hate Bush that much. Though, as our kind Statistics Operative suggests, "[I]f NBC/WSJ wanted to find out how blacks felt about Bush, they would poll a larger sample. But with approval this low, the result is not going to be exactly suspenseful." Full explanation after the jump.