Hey, I can't keep my dick hard past about 75%. I resent that remark on behalf of all my ED-challenged bretheren. Drumpf has "inverse ED"...his gets smaller as he gets "excited"
Hillary was on Jimmy Kimmel last night, and Kimmel asked her. “What would you say to the people who are complaining about not liking either candidate?”
Hillary answered “Oh, get over yourselves!”
then she went on, of course, to explain our democracy is at stake .
That self same Chuck Todd said today Hillary shouldn’t have said that it might hurt their feelings. Right Chuck, Hill is so shrill!
2020 Biden 81M votes, Trump 74m, total 155m voters. Trump percentage 47.7%. If he loses 20% of the Republican vote, that's 0.9% leaving the Orange Blunder with 46.8% of the vote. It's hard to imagine even the Electorial College overcoming that kind of a hole.
Good Christ, I just saw Chuck Todd on MSNBC saying both Biden and Trump should be nicer to the voters who don't like either of them, he also said Biden wouldn't debate.
Well, Jesus, Biden has always been nice to the voters who don't like him, he supports people's right to protest about the Gaza War, I saw a commercial where he joked about his age, he's never been snarky except about Trump. Now Trump, if he's ever been nice to anyone but Putin, I haven't seen it.
About Biden not debating Trump...I wouldn't blame him. The last time they debated, the moderators couldn't get Trump to shut up during Biden's turn, so weak! And the moderators failed Hillary when they didn't tell Trump to get the fuck away from her.
Final rant...since when has Chuck Todd worked at MSNBC, or was Chris Jansing just desperate for a guest? What a mistake!
Never figured out why the moderators of these "debates" don't just cut the speaker's mic once their time is up. Good enough for the Oscars, good enough for the Trumpster. (Of course, a live audience would still hear whatever was being said, but that could be cut, too.)
It's also worth noting IMO that a lot of the vote against Biden was a protest vote over Gaza. IOW, votes cast by people advocating a position that Trump and the GOP (but I repeat myself) absolutely, diametrically, 180-degree oppose. Somehow I don't think that that will translate into votes for Trump -- at least not at the rate at which the not-Trump vote crosses over to Biden.
I had dinner with one of those voters last night. He'll absolutely and unquestionably vote for Biden in the general, but made a protest vote in Manhattan because of course calling the White House to ask for a policy change in Gaza isn't getting much traction.
So when Democrats don't vote for Biden because they're sending a message but they'll come around in November doesn't that sort of imply that Republicans are doing the same?
A lot of the Never Trumpers have said they will actually vote for Biden in November, which is twice as much delta as voters who just stay home (a +1 for the other side as well as a -1 for yours). None of the Dems unhappy about Gaza are going to vote for Trump (well, I shouldn't say "none" because you will find some people taking all kinds of ridiculous positions, but very few).
Depends. Exit polls are indicating that a significant number of Haley voters won’t vote for Trump in the general. Well how many of them will hold to that.
PAB is losing so badly, against himself, that even if I found out that I only had 8 months left to live - I'd probably spend it donating money to good causes, planting more flowers and voting early.
i happily voted uninstructed yesterday in WI, as did my wife. there's limited ways in which we can send messages to the administration about it's handling of foreign affairs, and this was one good opportunity that has few downsides. in the end in November, we'll pick the candidate that will do the least harm over time, and that will be Joe Budden. hopefully his teams take in the information and maybe move a little faster on changing course before then.
Did any of you see the big fat article in the New York Times saying China has joined Russia imerrily posting on every website they can get into with misinformation
I'm not sure your blanket statement really considers that there are people who will refuse to vote for trump. They may not vote for Biden, but they won't vote for trump either.
I think that's way too pessimistic, and kind of facile.
Some R voters are not ultra-committed, and some are pretty disgusted by Trump. The core will certainly vote for Trump, but you don't have to peel off too many in purple states.
Denial that Trump couldn’t win again is naive. All it takes is a few thousand votes in a handful of key states. State by the way Biden isnt doing so hot in
HuffPo: Trump Declares Election Day Will Be 'Christian Visibility Day' In Trans Event Snipe
“What the hell was Biden thinking when he declared Easter Sunday to be trans visibility day?” Trump asked, drawing boos. “Such total disrespect to Christians.”
“And November 5th is going to be called something else,” he continued, referring to Election Day. “You know what it’s going to be called? Christian Visibility Day, when Christians turn out in numbers that nobody has ever seen before.”
fuck him. my 'Christian' church is attended by trans-persons. trans-Christian aren't mutually exclusive. I know all y'all know that but it makes me feel better to type it out.
Biblically, Passover is the first full moon of spring (that is how it is defined in Exodus). The Jewish calendar has a slight drift: the formula of 12 7/19 lunar months exceeds the seasonal year by about half a day per century, and so sometimes the Passover now falls on the second full moon of spring. Given the stubbornness of the Orthodox there is probably no way of reforming their calendar until Passover starts drifting into the third moon of spring.
They add 7 months every 19 years, which is slightly excessive, meaning that their nominal spring equinox (earliest possible Passover) drifts forward in time.
The reason is that it is a copy of the Babylonian calendar which had different intentions. The month of Nisanu was, when it was set running ~1500 BCE, the month which *contained* the spring equinox, so that its full moon had a 50/50 chance of being before or after the equinox; which is to say, the earliest possible date of the Nisanu full moon was 15 days before the equinox. Because of the forward drift, by the time king Achaz adopted it in Judah (we don't know what their system was before), the earliest possible Nisan full moon was 10 days before equinox: "the Sun fell back ten steps by the *calendar* of Achaz" is the correct translation of Isa. 38 and 2 Kings 20 (the strange word, related to "staircase", is commonly rendered "sundial" in King James etc.; in the postexilic final composition of the Bible this astronomical observation is turned into a miracle story of the Sun moving backwards) so Passover was commonly celebrated in the next month Iyyar instead to avoid a Passover before the equinox. In medieval times the Jewish calendar came into perfect alignment with the seasonal year, so that Maimonides praises it as a perfect harmony of tracking the moon and sun together: but now it is going out of alignment in the other direction. The full moon a week ago Monday was called Purim but should have been Passover (it was five days after equinox!) because the 7/19 formula inserted an extra month that should not have been inserted until next year.
". . . a many-times-indicted criminal who was still losing 20 percent of every primary vote this far into the game."
I don't understand. That 20% isn't going to vote for Joe Biden, so what difference does make if Trump isn't sweeping the primaries? He's the party leader and virtually all Republicans who vote are going to vote for him.
Actually a lot of Haley voters have said they will vote for Biden over Trump. But even those who just stay home, or vote down-ballot but leave the President slot blank, are enough to sink Trump.
It speaks to a systemic monetary issue - enthusiasm is down for the Hairless Fuhrer, and even his small money donors are kind of sick of him. The RNC is now owned by the Trump family, and they will be using any donations sent to that to pay his legal bills instead of sending it to downballot tickets. The Turnip and certain MAGA republicans can rely on NRA laundered money from Russia, but not every downballot race can, and it's either kiss the ring or get no money at all.
Every Republican at every level is going to have to fall in line to get money from the top, or they are going to have to build their own local fundraising apparatus instead or be independently wealthy. A few of them will be able to achieve the latter, and of course safe Republican districts can spend $0 and elect an elephant carcass successfully, but it's an electoral disaster in any swing state or purple district.
Nope, I know of life-long Republicans (RIP) that aren't voting for PAB, they will vote but his name isn't getting a check mark. They might not vote for Biden, but they definitively won't be voting for PAB.
He has managed to do on his own what we in the "thoughtful voter" column couldn't - make himself radioactive as a candidate.
And that pattern is that PAB lost the last election and many of those he endorsed lost their elections as well, so ergo something is changing the electorate. Either it's a lot of people mixing up the date of the election due to mental confusion, untimely deaths or they've had it with the Grifter Show and aren't voting for him.
I consider the latter to be the most likely, from the GOP voters I know.
Remember its always money, he'll buy whoever he needs to maintain the facade. I think $50 and a box of Krispy Kremes would get you most police chiefs to stand on a stage. Unfortunately for Trump you can't buy votes (Note: not applicable to Alabama, Arkansas and Mississippi), T-Shirts with "Blacks for Trump" don't count as votes.
Hey, I can't keep my dick hard past about 75%. I resent that remark on behalf of all my ED-challenged bretheren. Drumpf has "inverse ED"...his gets smaller as he gets "excited"
Spot on about his narcissism. Those cops behind him should be ashamed
Of themselves.
Right, like most cops have any sense of shame...
Hoping some did.
One of the things I do is watch the people behind Trump. These guys were statues. I wondered if THEY wondered "why the hell am I up here".
Hillary was on Jimmy Kimmel last night, and Kimmel asked her. “What would you say to the people who are complaining about not liking either candidate?”
Hillary answered “Oh, get over yourselves!”
then she went on, of course, to explain our democracy is at stake .
That self same Chuck Todd said today Hillary shouldn’t have said that it might hurt their feelings. Right Chuck, Hill is so shrill!
Apparently, Chuckie didn't understand that Hillary's remark was aimed at him.
Good one! Also in 2016, when I was arguing with anti-Hillaries, they'd say stuff like
"you're so mean now I am definitely voting against Hillary!" I wasn't.
Why the idea you have to treat arguers politely or oh, you'll make them mad!
Every night I say a little prayer please God don’t let Trump win
I pray to Gaia, to drop a big fucking hurricane on Merde a Lardo. Category 5. Let Poseiden reclaim it.
First..."SHARKS!"
Sorry, math is involved.
2020 Biden 81M votes, Trump 74m, total 155m voters. Trump percentage 47.7%. If he loses 20% of the Republican vote, that's 0.9% leaving the Orange Blunder with 46.8% of the vote. It's hard to imagine even the Electorial College overcoming that kind of a hole.
We were told there would be no maths. 😾
Good Christ, I just saw Chuck Todd on MSNBC saying both Biden and Trump should be nicer to the voters who don't like either of them, he also said Biden wouldn't debate.
Well, Jesus, Biden has always been nice to the voters who don't like him, he supports people's right to protest about the Gaza War, I saw a commercial where he joked about his age, he's never been snarky except about Trump. Now Trump, if he's ever been nice to anyone but Putin, I haven't seen it.
About Biden not debating Trump...I wouldn't blame him. The last time they debated, the moderators couldn't get Trump to shut up during Biden's turn, so weak! And the moderators failed Hillary when they didn't tell Trump to get the fuck away from her.
Final rant...since when has Chuck Todd worked at MSNBC, or was Chris Jansing just desperate for a guest? What a mistake!
Never figured out why the moderators of these "debates" don't just cut the speaker's mic once their time is up. Good enough for the Oscars, good enough for the Trumpster. (Of course, a live audience would still hear whatever was being said, but that could be cut, too.)
It's also worth noting IMO that a lot of the vote against Biden was a protest vote over Gaza. IOW, votes cast by people advocating a position that Trump and the GOP (but I repeat myself) absolutely, diametrically, 180-degree oppose. Somehow I don't think that that will translate into votes for Trump -- at least not at the rate at which the not-Trump vote crosses over to Biden.
Yeah, and quite a few of the protest voters in the primary are still intending to vote for Biden, but they wanted to send a message.
To quote the late great Billy Wilder, "If you want to send a message, use Western Union".
I had dinner with one of those voters last night. He'll absolutely and unquestionably vote for Biden in the general, but made a protest vote in Manhattan because of course calling the White House to ask for a policy change in Gaza isn't getting much traction.
I hope they're all like that.
Exactly, it's specifically because this is their only avenue to register a protest vote that they're doing so.
So when Democrats don't vote for Biden because they're sending a message but they'll come around in November doesn't that sort of imply that Republicans are doing the same?
A lot of the Never Trumpers have said they will actually vote for Biden in November, which is twice as much delta as voters who just stay home (a +1 for the other side as well as a -1 for yours). None of the Dems unhappy about Gaza are going to vote for Trump (well, I shouldn't say "none" because you will find some people taking all kinds of ridiculous positions, but very few).
Depends. Exit polls are indicating that a significant number of Haley voters won’t vote for Trump in the general. Well how many of them will hold to that.
We won't know until November 6th or 7th.
PAB is losing so badly, against himself, that even if I found out that I only had 8 months left to live - I'd probably spend it donating money to good causes, planting more flowers and voting early.
Once we rename Dulles airport in DC to Dump International everything will be fine.
Because Dulles will go out of business.
Been there? It kinda is an odd airport. Those huge transporters are just..odd.
LOCK HIM UP!
i happily voted uninstructed yesterday in WI, as did my wife. there's limited ways in which we can send messages to the administration about it's handling of foreign affairs, and this was one good opportunity that has few downsides. in the end in November, we'll pick the candidate that will do the least harm over time, and that will be Joe Budden. hopefully his teams take in the information and maybe move a little faster on changing course before then.
There are a lot of people voting uncommitted over Israel policy.
*inserts galactic eyeroll GIF here*
I wouldn’t read too much into it.
Republicans reliably fall in line behind their guy. always
OK comradeski
Oh. That’s a good one!
Did any of you see the big fat article in the New York Times saying China has joined Russia imerrily posting on every website they can get into with misinformation
How often has "their guy" been 91 times indicted, liable for rape, asshole? Not really comparable to the old days.
Btw. Resorting to name calling kinda undercuts your argument
It's not like they care about any of that. They'd vote for the corpse of Charles Manson before they vote for a commie socialist Democrat.
I'm not sure your blanket statement really considers that there are people who will refuse to vote for trump. They may not vote for Biden, but they won't vote for trump either.
None of that matters to them.
All the old rules and conventional wisdom have been out the window since 2016
I think that's way too pessimistic, and kind of facile.
Some R voters are not ultra-committed, and some are pretty disgusted by Trump. The core will certainly vote for Trump, but you don't have to peel off too many in purple states.
Denial that Trump couldn’t win again is naive. All it takes is a few thousand votes in a handful of key states. State by the way Biden isnt doing so hot in
Now is not the time for complacency
Yeah, they're so disgusted by Trump that hardly any of them are saying anything about it for fear of being cast out like a common Liz Cheney.
We do have a secret ballot. And remember, we're talking about numbers around the margin, not the hard-core cultists.
Republican behavior seems to support my comment more so than yours. We shall see
Take nothing for granted
I know of an awful lot of republicans that may say this but in the end vote for their guy.
HuffPo: Trump Declares Election Day Will Be 'Christian Visibility Day' In Trans Event Snipe
“What the hell was Biden thinking when he declared Easter Sunday to be trans visibility day?” Trump asked, drawing boos. “Such total disrespect to Christians.”
“And November 5th is going to be called something else,” he continued, referring to Election Day. “You know what it’s going to be called? Christian Visibility Day, when Christians turn out in numbers that nobody has ever seen before.”
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-christian-visibility-day_n_660d1cc1e4b083254eaa5514
Says the "Christian" who raw-dogged a porn star while his third wife was home taking care of their son.
fuck him. my 'Christian' church is attended by trans-persons. trans-Christian aren't mutually exclusive. I know all y'all know that but it makes me feel better to type it out.
Fun fact, fewer evangelicals voted in 2020 than in 2016.
Pew Reseach
So Christian=Anti Trans? I had no idea.
How dare you have an election on Guy Fawkes Day. That day's reserved for burning Catholics... in effigy... without votes.
Have to remember to wear my witch hat that day.
It's already something else. Fucking dunce.
The answer to "when is Christian Visibility Day" is the same as the answer my mom would give us when we asked "when is Children's Day."
not many know - but there is a "Children's Day" tradition - which will be Sunday June 9 this year. My mom was into it. My mom is weird.
I like your mom
Biblically, Passover is the first full moon of spring (that is how it is defined in Exodus). The Jewish calendar has a slight drift: the formula of 12 7/19 lunar months exceeds the seasonal year by about half a day per century, and so sometimes the Passover now falls on the second full moon of spring. Given the stubbornness of the Orthodox there is probably no way of reforming their calendar until Passover starts drifting into the third moon of spring.
They add 7 months every 19 years, which is slightly excessive, meaning that their nominal spring equinox (earliest possible Passover) drifts forward in time.
The reason is that it is a copy of the Babylonian calendar which had different intentions. The month of Nisanu was, when it was set running ~1500 BCE, the month which *contained* the spring equinox, so that its full moon had a 50/50 chance of being before or after the equinox; which is to say, the earliest possible date of the Nisanu full moon was 15 days before the equinox. Because of the forward drift, by the time king Achaz adopted it in Judah (we don't know what their system was before), the earliest possible Nisan full moon was 10 days before equinox: "the Sun fell back ten steps by the *calendar* of Achaz" is the correct translation of Isa. 38 and 2 Kings 20 (the strange word, related to "staircase", is commonly rendered "sundial" in King James etc.; in the postexilic final composition of the Bible this astronomical observation is turned into a miracle story of the Sun moving backwards) so Passover was commonly celebrated in the next month Iyyar instead to avoid a Passover before the equinox. In medieval times the Jewish calendar came into perfect alignment with the seasonal year, so that Maimonides praises it as a perfect harmony of tracking the moon and sun together: but now it is going out of alignment in the other direction. The full moon a week ago Monday was called Purim but should have been Passover (it was five days after equinox!) because the 7/19 formula inserted an extra month that should not have been inserted until next year.
Lunar calendars suck. Getting seeds in the ground at the right time is way more important than tracking wifey's periods.
". . . a many-times-indicted criminal who was still losing 20 percent of every primary vote this far into the game."
I don't understand. That 20% isn't going to vote for Joe Biden, so what difference does make if Trump isn't sweeping the primaries? He's the party leader and virtually all Republicans who vote are going to vote for him.
Actually a lot of Haley voters have said they will vote for Biden over Trump. But even those who just stay home, or vote down-ballot but leave the President slot blank, are enough to sink Trump.
It speaks to a systemic monetary issue - enthusiasm is down for the Hairless Fuhrer, and even his small money donors are kind of sick of him. The RNC is now owned by the Trump family, and they will be using any donations sent to that to pay his legal bills instead of sending it to downballot tickets. The Turnip and certain MAGA republicans can rely on NRA laundered money from Russia, but not every downballot race can, and it's either kiss the ring or get no money at all.
Every Republican at every level is going to have to fall in line to get money from the top, or they are going to have to build their own local fundraising apparatus instead or be independently wealthy. A few of them will be able to achieve the latter, and of course safe Republican districts can spend $0 and elect an elephant carcass successfully, but it's an electoral disaster in any swing state or purple district.
Yeah, that seems like the real story here.
Exactly. You may get a few that vote RFK Jr. or other third party or Stay home. They sure would never vote for a democrat
Republicans at the end of the day always fall in line. Always
Nope, I know of life-long Republicans (RIP) that aren't voting for PAB, they will vote but his name isn't getting a check mark. They might not vote for Biden, but they definitively won't be voting for PAB.
He has managed to do on his own what we in the "thoughtful voter" column couldn't - make himself radioactive as a candidate.
An awfully lot of republicans will say they are against Trump but in the end will fall in line. They always do
A pattern is a pattern until it stops being the pattern. Trump has killed the reflex loyalty of a lot of Republicans.
We won’t know for certain until Nov 7.
So far the pattern has held
And that pattern is that PAB lost the last election and many of those he endorsed lost their elections as well, so ergo something is changing the electorate. Either it's a lot of people mixing up the date of the election due to mental confusion, untimely deaths or they've had it with the Grifter Show and aren't voting for him.
I consider the latter to be the most likely, from the GOP voters I know.
They used to. Pussy Ass Bitch has probably changed that permanently.
Remember its always money, he'll buy whoever he needs to maintain the facade. I think $50 and a box of Krispy Kremes would get you most police chiefs to stand on a stage. Unfortunately for Trump you can't buy votes (Note: not applicable to Alabama, Arkansas and Mississippi), T-Shirts with "Blacks for Trump" don't count as votes.